港股短線箭頭 - 700, 1177, 6098

香港亂，不過琴日記招後，最大最不安既因素短期應該已經消除咗，中資強股會繼續反覆向上。


短打我會揀企鵝、中生製藥、招行、碧貴園服務。

ARK's recent comments on Tesla (TSLA)

"While its stock dropped this week after Tesla reported lower gross margins in its second quarter report, regulatory credits obfuscated some progress. Excluding regulatory credits, Tesla’s automotive gross margin increased roughly 200 basis points to 17.2% despite a drop in average selling prices (ASPs). While still below 20%, Tesla’s gross margin should continue to increase as its production scales and battery costs continue to fall. Moreover, once Tesla releases full self-driving capability, we believe its margins should expand even faster as its revenue base shifts towards software-based, recurring revenue products and services.

Tesla also announced that CTO JB Staubel is stepping aside and that Drew Baglino, his deputy for more than a decade, will succeed him. While ARK is sad to see this battery visionary shift into an advisory role, his decision is understandable for three reasons: first, he needs some down time after an intense 16 years; second, Tesla’s strategic priorities have shifted toward manufacturing at scale and artificial intelligence for autonomy, both of which are not his core competency; and third, he recently founded a company, Redwood Materials, which could be setting up to recycle lithium-ion batteries.

Perhaps most noteworthy in the call, Musk disclosed that Tesla is aiming to ramp battery production from 28 gigawatt hours (GWh) today to 2 terawatt hours (TWh) over time. ARK’s research suggests that 2 TWh could accommodate 26 million EVs, as shown in the tweet below, to which Musk responded that 25-50% of the battery capacity would go towards stationary energy storage. In other words, Tesla plans to ramp EV production from 360,000-400,000 this year to the 13-19 million range. In our bull case, Tesla will produce and sell 3 million EVs in 2023."

from ARK Disrupt - Issue 182 - dated 28 July 2019

來一杯咖啡 Starbucks (SBUX)

股價同業績悶咗三年，估唔到剛剛個quarter又有番活力。

抽升咗之後估值唔算平，但表現會比M記好。

好可惜，自己係錯過了一隻好股票，而佢之前既突破點唔算難捉。

Tesla (TSLA) 有機 turnaround

業績後即插14%，都幾嚇人。不過，公司現金狀況正有改善跡象。


未來五年EV需求大，Tesla又有新建車廠追進度，雖然turnaround stock唔易玩，CEO又癲癲地，個人覺得現價還是值得一博。


題外話，記得好耐之前，AMZN都試過一晚跌33%，但都係好耐之前既事了。

Visa (V) 依然穩健

業績平穩，多年來估值區間也是差不多，中線看好。


如果要揀微軟或者Visa，我會鍾意微軟多d。


期待今晚Tesla業績。

中國生物製藥 (1177)

可惜國策同人民幣都太飄忽，否則係香港市場缺乏增長題材既前題下，1177係一個唔錯既進攻箭頭。


諗起年幾前一個唔該就直插無水花，放遲D就唔見三四成，經驗實在不爽。


都係專心返美國業績期算了。

Microsoft 繼續強大 (MSFT)

剛剛發佈既業績很不錯，Window、雲業務既增速應可持續。而雲業務方面，最近公司也接了大單。


中線持續看好，你可以挑剔係佢市值太大，唔可能好似d 小公司咁係咁爆上。不過佢股價唔太忽，波動少，係我覺好好既一點。

Square (SQ)

近年來，拿得最穩和最好賺的股票，V跟MA一定佔其中兩個席位。


他們都是大牛龜了，有沒有一些較年青的公司，可以博較快的增長? SQ可能是一隻有趣的股票。


自從上年泡沫小破 (也自高位下跌了五成！)，到近來突破了重要阻力，此子有一再留意的價值。

ARK 一些有趣的投資點子

除了 Tesla概念，大部份已熱了好一段時間：
- EV
- energy storage
- 智能的士
- FinTech - 移動通訊
- 基因排序
- 3D print


雖然看好基因排序，但選股較難。上周ILMN因業績不乎預期已一天下跌16%，看來揀ETF會比較穩妥。